Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 2-1
Santos FC vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
23%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 2
SAN
67%
20%
14%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATP
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
AMF
2 - 0
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPO
72%
19%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATM
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
IND
3 - 1
VEL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
COL
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
BAH
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
EST
0 - 0
IND
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |