Santos FC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
XVD
92%
6%
2%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
PPE
3 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 3
PAU
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
43%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
MOG
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 3
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |