Santos FC vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 0
SAN
16%
23%
60%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PAL
4 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 0
SAN
10%
21%
68%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
MIR
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
GUA
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 2
PPE
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 0
GUA
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
GRÊ
2 - 0
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAO
12%
22%
66%
|
51 | 88 | 37 | 0 |