Santos FC vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.9%
3-0
15%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.3%
3.5%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
12%
23%
65%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
FLU
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
COT
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
INT
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FER
1 - 2
MAR
53%
27%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
FER
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
FER
0 - 1
MAR
63%
23%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
FER
27%
30%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |