Conmebol Sudamericana . Last 16
Global 2-2
Santos FC vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 2
FLA
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
39%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
COR
0 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
COR
4 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
BRA
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
MIN
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
39%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
TAC
2 - 0
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 0
TAC
21%
28%
50%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |