Santos FC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAN
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
GRE
3 - 3
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ATM
2 - 0
SAN
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 4
GOI
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
COT
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
COT
72%
18%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
COT
3 - 3
FLU
21%
27%
52%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
COT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |