Santos FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAN
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
COR
0 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOT
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 1
SFE
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |