Santos FC vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.4%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.9%
85.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
15%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
19.2%
0-4
10%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
-4
12.2%
0-5
5.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 3
SAN
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAH
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
COT
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
SAA
0 - 4
FCB
1%
8%
91%
|
98 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
RMA
1 - 3
FCB
56%
21%
24%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 0
BAT
95%
5%
1%
|
97 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 0
LEV
89%
8%
3%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 0
RAY
90%
8%
2%
|
97 | 79 | 18 | 0 |