Santos FC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
COR
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ATP
0 - 0
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAS
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
COT
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
COR
23%
29%
48%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
PPE
2 - 0
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 0
FLU
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
JEC
2 - 0
AVA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 2
ATP
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |