Santos FC vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
COT
2 - 3
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 1
PAY
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
DAN
1 - 2
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAN
6%
14%
81%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAU
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATP
27%
26%
48%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ATP
0 - 1
PPE
71%
18%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATP
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 0
COT
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
ATP
2 - 1
AME
62%
21%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |