Santos FC vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 1
SAN
18%
26%
57%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
MIR
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
COR
3 - 0
AGU
83%
14%
4%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 3
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
XVD
2 - 1
AGU
43%
26%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
XVD
53%
26%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |