Santos B vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
PRI
40%
25%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
BER
2 - 0
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAO
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
62%
21%
18%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 2
BER
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
PRI
1 - 2
SAO
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 2
SAO
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 0
AGU
37%
26%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |