Santo André vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
AVA
0 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 3
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |