Santo André vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
49.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
FER
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
5%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 2
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAO
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
COR
15%
28%
58%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOV
1 - 2
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 0
NOV
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 0
MIR
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 0
NOV
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |