Santo André vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
54.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
1 - 0
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
BOT
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
8%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
BRA
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAN
11%
20%
69%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
NOV
3 - 2
ITU
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOV
29%
22%
49%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 3
NOV
24%
21%
56%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 2
RBB
50%
23%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |