Santo André vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
50%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
GUA
2 - 3
SAN
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
88%
9%
3%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
NOV
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 2
FER
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
5%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 1
FER
66%
19%
14%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 0
ITU
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ITU
3 - 0
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITU
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AGU
2 - 2
ITU
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |