Santo André vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1984 |
OPE
1 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1984 |
SAN
0 - 0
POR
36%
30%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
SAN
1 - 1
OPE
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
FLU
4 - 2
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1984 |
FLU
2 - 0
OPE
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
POR
0 - 1
FLU
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
OPE
0 - 0
FLU
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
FLU
1 - 0
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |