Série D Brazil Ronda final. 1/16
Global 1-1
Santo André vs Esportivo BG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
BAN
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BOA
0 - 2
SAN
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
POR
32%
30%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Esportivo BG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 1
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 1
RIO
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
ESP
39%
28%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ESP
2 - 1
AIM
40%
28%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAX
0 - 1
ESP
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |