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Copa Paulista. Primera Ronda, Matchday 7

Santo André vs EC São Bernardo analysis

Santo André EC São Bernardo
36 ELO 43
-9% Tilt 1%
4620º General ELO ranking 2614º
281º Country ELO ranking 176º
ELO win probability
36.4%
Santo André
28.7%
Draw
35%
EC São Bernardo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
Santo André
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
35%
Win probability
EC São Bernardo
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santo André
-23%
-32%
EC São Bernardo

Points and table prediction

Santo André
Their league position
EC São Bernardo
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
0
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ferroviária
25
25
100%
Comercial
23
23
100%
Linense CA
12
12
100%
Mirassol
11
11
100%
Votuporanguense
7
7
100%
Batatais
2
2
100%
Expected probabilities
Santo André
EC São Bernardo

ELO progression

Santo André
SAN
EC São Bernardo
BER
Ponte Preta B
AAP
Grêmio Osasco
GRE
Água Santa
AGU
São Caetano
SAO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santo André
Santo André
1%
X%
2%
ELO SAN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2019
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
1 - 0
Santo André
SAN
56%
24%
20%
493 888 395 0
21 Jul. 2019
SAN
Santo André
0 - 0
Água Santa
AGU
36%
28%
36%
493 885 -392 0
13 Jul. 2019
SAO
São Caetano
2 - 0
Santo André
SAN
44%
27%
29%
494 478 -16 -1
07 Jul. 2019
SAN
Santo André
2 - 0
Ponte Preta B
AAP
39%
28%
33%
493 799 -306 +1
29 Jun. 2019
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 1
Santo André
SAN
53%
25%
22%
492 717 225 +1

Matches

EC São Bernardo
EC São Bernardo
1%
X%
2%
ELO BER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2019
BER
EC São Bernardo
1 - 1
Água Santa
AGU
41%
28%
31%
716 885 -169 0
20 Jul. 2019
BER
EC São Bernardo
1 - 2
São Caetano
SAO
53%
25%
22%
716 479 237 -1
14 Jul. 2019
AAP
Ponte Preta B
0 - 2
EC São Bernardo
BER
49%
26%
25%
715 798 83 +1
06 Jul. 2019
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
1 - 0
EC São Bernardo
BER
50%
26%
24%
716 889 173 -1
29 Jun. 2019
BER
EC São Bernardo
0 - 1
Santo André
SAN
53%
25%
22%
717 492 225 -1