EMD Santillana vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 4
MER
59%
22%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
DEV
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MFC
1 - 1
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
COL
1 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
5 - 0
NOJ
55%
22%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAS
21%
21%
58%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VLE
1 - 1
CAS
17%
20%
63%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |