Santiago vs SC Guadalupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IDE
1 - 3
SAN
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PRA
3 - 2
SAN
29%
24%
48%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FAY
1 - 3
SAN
17%
21%
62%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
SAN
24%
23%
52%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
AGU
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 9 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
SC Guadalupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 3
PRA
34%
24%
42%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 0
SCG
55%
23%
23%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SCG
5 - 0
MIC
57%
22%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LUS
3 - 1
SCG
71%
17%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 0
IDE
20%
22%
57%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |