Santiago vs Fayal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOA
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
MIC
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fayal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AGU
0 - 2
FAY
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FAY
0 - 3
PRA
12%
19%
68%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SCG
3 - 0
FAY
68%
18%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FAY
1 - 1
PRA
26%
24%
51%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BOA
1 - 1
FAY
73%
17%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |