Santiago Morning vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
DCO
2 - 2
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
DSC
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
MAG
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 3
SAN
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
IQU
1 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
COB
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MAG
1 - 3
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
NUB
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 3
DCO
40%
29%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |