Santiago Morning vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAG
64%
20%
15%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 2
SAN
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
COQ
2 - 1
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BPO
2 - 0
EVE
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 1
LUD
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
EVE
0 - 1
MAG
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
EVE
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
EVE
0 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |