Santiago Morning vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago Morning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2001 |
COQ
3 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 5
UNI
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
USF
1 - 0
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
COB
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAN
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2001 |
CON
1 - 3
VAS
16%
23%
61%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CON
1 - 0
OHI
53%
25%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
CON
3 - 0
JWI
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
COQ
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
CON
3 - 2
SLO
20%
22%
58%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |