Santiago de Cuba vs Guantánamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
4º
5º
5º
14
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago de Cuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CIE
2 - 1
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
HOL
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 2
SAN
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Guantánamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
FCL
35%
28%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 0
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
3 - 0
HOL
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
MAT
0 - 4
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |