Santarcangelo vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 1
REN
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
ASS
27%
27%
47%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 0
FOR
32%
24%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
BV5
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIN
2 - 1
FOR
36%
26%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAS
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VNZ
3 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |