Santanyi vs Mercadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
8º
5º
37
1º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 53 |
5º
|
96.5% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
76% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
76% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
73% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
76.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santanyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
SNF
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
SNF
2 - 0
JOR
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MNC
1 - 2
SNF
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SNF
0 - 0
CLL
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 1
SNF
48%
21%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Mercadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MER
0 - 1
BNS
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PBL
3 - 0
MER
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MER
6 - 1
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IMA
1 - 0
MER
41%
25%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
CFP
34%
27%
39%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |