Apertura . Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
ONC
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
FAS
2 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
CEV
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
MET
0 - 0
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
IND
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal Limeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FAS
0 - 1
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 1
CEV
44%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MET
0 - 2
MUN
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
IND
2 - 2
MUN
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MUN
0 - 0
AGU
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |