Santa Tecla vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
FAS
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 0
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 5
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
6 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
PAS
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 0
JUV
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
MET
29%
26%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UES
1 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |