Santa Tecla vs Juventud Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
PAS
1 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
SAN
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
UES
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDD
46%
26%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 5
UES
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
MET
2 - 0
JUV
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
MET
42%
24%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 4
FAS
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FIR
3 - 4
JUV
31%
26%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |