Santa Tecla vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
FAS
2 - 3
SAN
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 0
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 1
SAN
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
AGU
23%
28%
50%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
4 - 1
ATL
59%
22%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 4
ALI
20%
25%
55%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
MET
0 - 0
ATL
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
UES
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |