Santa Tecla vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FAS
0 - 1
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MET
1 - 2
SAN
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
UES
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
ALI
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 0
UES
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 2
ATL
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 1
ATL
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAS
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |