Santa Tecla vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
CDD
2 - 2
SAN
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
SAN
37%
28%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
PAS
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
FAS
3 - 1
SAN
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
PAS
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FAS
2 - 0
ATL
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 2
ALI
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
0 - 2
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
UES
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |