Santa Tecla vs Atlético Marte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
UES
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ONC
1 - 2
SAN
37%
29%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
FIR
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
7 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MET
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Marte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
FAS
2 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 3
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
UES
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
ONC
0 - 1
ATL
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
FIR
34%
27%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |