Santa Tecla vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAN
22%
26%
53%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
3 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 1
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
ALI
20%
25%
56%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 0
ATL
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 3
ALI
12%
22%
66%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
3 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ALI
1 - 2
JOC
85%
12%
4%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
CEV
1 - 2
ALI
23%
29%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |