Santa Tecla vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 0
UES
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
MET
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDD
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAS
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
FAS
1 - 0
ALI
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
AGU
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
ALI
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 4
UES
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -2 |