Santa Marta vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
UDF
2 - 2
SMA
60%
19%
21%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 0
SNV
15%
20%
65%
|
5 | 13 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
LOB
5 - 0
SMA
72%
16%
12%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SMA
0 - 2
BAD
24%
21%
56%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VER
3 - 1
SMA
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
UDF
2 - 2
SMA
60%
19%
21%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
UDF
1 - 2
ZAL
75%
15%
11%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
CDS
3 - 3
UDF
54%
23%
23%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
UDF
1 - 1
QUI
29%
22%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
UDF
3 - 1
CDB
43%
23%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |