Santa Marta vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
SPR
1 - 2
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
1 - 1
GAR
37%
22%
41%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
1 - 1
SMA
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SMA
3 - 2
EMD
37%
24%
39%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CPO
0 - 0
SMA
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UCL
1 - 0
USA
79%
14%
8%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ZAF
1 - 0
UCL
25%
23%
52%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UCL
3 - 1
CDE
24%
20%
56%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UCL
3 - 2
SEG
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SPR
0 - 2
UCL
55%
21%
24%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |