Santa Mariña vs UVCD Candean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-75%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Mariña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LTA
2 - 3
MAR
23%
22%
55%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
MOS
49%
23%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
PON
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ERI
1 - 1
MAR
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UVCD Candean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
RIV
42%
23%
36%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
CAN
31%
23%
46%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 1
GON
16%
20%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
CAN
51%
22%
27%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 3
CAÑ
36%
21%
44%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |