Santa Maria vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
73.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
DOM
1 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
SED
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2021 |
TAG
1 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SOB
5 - 3
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
TAG
9%
17%
74%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
GAM
1 - 2
BRA
41%
25%
34%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
GAM
1 - 2
PPE
23%
24%
54%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
CEI
0 - 2
GAM
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 1
CAP
75%
15%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
REM
1 - 0
GAM
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |