Santa Maria vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
67.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LUZ
3 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
31%
22%
46%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BRA
3 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
4 - 0
BFC
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CEI
15%
20%
65%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GAM
2 - 0
CAP
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
26%
26%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GAM
5 - 0
BFC
78%
16%
6%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
GAM
0 - 1
LUZ
63%
23%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GAM
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |