Santa Maria vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
81.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
CAP
2 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
LUZ
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 3
SAN
17%
19%
64%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
GAM
10%
17%
73%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
DOM
1 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
SED
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
TAG
1 - 2
BRA
30%
23%
47%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 0
DOM
71%
17%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
GAM
1 - 2
BRA
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |