Saint Lucia vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
58.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
LCA
2 - 0
KNA
30%
23%
47%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SXM
1 - 5
LCA
13%
16%
71%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MTQ
3 - 1
LCA
79%
15%
7%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
LCA
3 - 1
DMA
56%
22%
21%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AIA
1 - 2
LCA
10%
15%
76%
|
43 | 9 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
GLP
4 - 0
SXM
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KNA
1 - 2
GLP
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 3
GTM
19%
24%
57%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CUB
1 - 4
GLP
44%
26%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 2
GLP
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |