Santa Iria vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Iria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
OEI
1 - 2
IRI
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
IRI
2 - 2
UNI
58%
21%
22%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
IRI
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
IRI
4 - 1
CLU
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
IRI
2 - 2
VIL
11%
17%
72%
|
12 | 34 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALV
2 - 0
MON
88%
9%
3%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
COU
1 - 0
ALV
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | -3 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALV
1 - 0
LOU
84%
12%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TOJ
2 - 1
ALV
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | -3 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
ALV
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | -3 |