Santa Helena vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Helena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
JAT
1 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2009 |
GOI
4 - 0
SAN
89%
9%
3%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 0
TRI
45%
25%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ITU
4 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
CRA
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
APA
1 - 3
ANA
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
APA
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
APA
1 - 3
ITU
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 0
APA
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
APA
3 - 0
MIN
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |