Santa Gema vs New York Colon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 2
GEM
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
GEM
1 - 1
COS
47%
25%
27%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 2
GEM
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
GEM
2 - 0
COL
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MSM
1 - 2
GEM
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
New York Colon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 2
RIO
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
NYC
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
2 - 1
TIE
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
VIS
0 - 1
NYC
24%
23%
53%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
NYC
0 - 2
IND
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |