Santa Gema vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
55.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Gema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CHO
3 - 0
GEM
64%
23%
13%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
TAU
3 - 0
GEM
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
GEM
0 - 4
AFC
38%
29%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 0
GEM
66%
22%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GEM
0 - 1
AMA
34%
31%
35%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
IND
4 - 3
TAU
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AFC
0 - 2
IND
28%
27%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
ARS
1 - 3
IND
4%
10%
86%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2019 |
IND
0 - 2
ARA
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |