Santa Fe vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 1
SFE
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
HUI
2 - 3
SFE
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
SFE
2 - 2
CHI
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAS
1 - 2
SFE
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SFE
2 - 1
AME
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ONC
1 - 1
HUI
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
ONC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
ONC
3 - 1
PAS
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
AME
3 - 1
ONC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ONC
1 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |