Santa Fe vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
SFE
2 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
SFE
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
0 - 1
SFE
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 1
AME
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 0
BUC
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 3
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 3
PAS
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
BUC
1 - 2
ALI
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
PAS
3 - 1
ALI
51%
24%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ALI
2 - 3
CAL
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |